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2002-03 Missouri Ratings
(Scores through 3/02/03)
Link to last year's (2001-2002) final ratings
Teams listed W-L-T record reflects only games whose score
is listed on the 2002-2003 Missouri HS Scores page.
The program starts all teams with an equal arbitrary value and then
adjusts them all recursively based on game scores until the lowest cumulative
error between expected goal differentials and actual goal differentials is
reached (convergence).
The Total column is in goal units and the difference in this value between
any two teams is the predicted goal differential for a game played at a
neutral site between those two teams. It should be noted that due to goal
differential limits set in the ranking program these predicted goal differentials
are only accurate when comparing teams ranked within three goals of each other.
The differential between teams ranked farther apart becomes more and more
understated as the chosen teams become farther apart in the rankings.
A teams Total value only has meaning in relation to other teams in the same list.
The Last 5 column is a simple average performance of that team in the last five
games based on current opponent Total values and goal differential (up to max allowed).
Obviously, the fewer games a team's ranking is based upon the less likely
that ranking is to be accurate.
* indicates teams with only two game scores used to calculate rating.
Links to other ratings:
CT IA IL IN MA MI MN MN-WI-ND MO ND Northeast NH NJ NY OH PA-E PA-W1A PA-W2A PA-W3A
RI VT WI wWI USA Midget AAA Men's NCAA D1
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More information about how the ratings are calculated and their past
accuracy can be found here .
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RANK TEAM W L T GmPerf Sched Total Last 5
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1,CBC,MO,____________________________ 30 1 2, 3.1, 8.2, 11.31, 10.26
2,Marquette,MO,______________________ 23 4 0, 2.3, 8.0, 10.31, 10.90
3,DeSmet,MO,_________________________ 27 9 0, 1.6, 8.5, 10.14, 11.89
4,Oakville,MO,_______________________ 19 3 1, 2.7, 7.3, 9.97, 9.73
5,SLUH,MO,___________________________ 14 6 2, 1.2, 8.2, 9.38, 9.04
6,Webster Groves,MO,_________________ 16 8 3, 1.2, 7.8, 8.97, 9.51
7,Chaminade,MO,______________________ 11 13 1, 0.2, 8.7, 8.86, 8.90
8,Rockwood Summit,MO,________________ 14 7 2, 0.8, 7.8, 8.63, 7.94
9,Lafayette,MO,______________________ 13 11 0, 0.7, 7.9, 8.59, 8.56
10,Wentzville,MO,_____________________ 13 10 1, 0.9, 7.4, 8.30, 8.21
11,Parkway West,MO,___________________ 11 10 1, 0.4, 7.7, 8.14, 7.00
12,Francis Howell Central,MO,_________ 15 6 4, 0.9, 7.1, 8.00, 9.07
13,Francis Howell North,MO,___________ 15 8 1, 0.9, 7.0, 7.88, 7.02
14,Parkway South,MO,__________________ 11 12 1, -0.2, 8.0, 7.84, 8.26
15,Kirkwood,MO,_______________________ 6 11 4, -0.4, 8.1, 7.70, 7.06
16,Fort Zumwalt South,MO,_____________ 14 10 2, 0.3, 7.3, 7.61, 6.65
17,Duchesne,MO,_______________________ 13 5 3, 1.5, 6.0, 7.53, 6.59
18,Parkway Central,MO,________________ 12 12 1, -0.3, 7.8, 7.51, 7.26
19,Fox,MO,____________________________ 10 9 3, -0.1, 7.3, 7.26, 7.03
20,Lutheran South,MO,_________________ 12 9 1, 0.6, 6.2, 6.81, 8.13
21,Althoff,MO,________________________ 11 13 0, -0.3, 7.1, 6.78, 8.20
22,Lindbergh,MO,______________________ 8 11 2, -0.2, 7.0, 6.78, 6.41
23,McCluer North,MO,__________________ 17 5 0, 1.7, 5.0, 6.73, 5.06
24,Vianney,MO,________________________ 4 15 3, -1.6, 8.3, 6.68, 6.83
25,Priory,MO,_________________________ 14 4 2, 2.0, 4.5, 6.46, 7.04
26,Ladue,MO,__________________________ 13 8 0, 0.9, 5.6, 6.44, 5.80
27,Hazelwood West,MO,_________________ 14 10 1, 0.4, 5.8, 6.28, 7.73
28,St Charles West,MO,________________ 14 10 2, 0.5, 5.4, 5.87, 6.07
29,Hazelwood Central,MO,______________ 11 11 1, -0.1, 5.5, 5.36, 4.37
30,Granite City,MO,___________________ 9 10 1, -0.2, 5.3, 5.13, 5.94
31,Fort Zumwalt West,MO,______________ 6 15 2, -1.6, 6.5, 4.97, 5.15
32,Francis Howell,MO,_________________ 4 17 2, -1.5, 6.4, 4.87, 5.59
33,Whitfield,MO,______________________ 10 10 5, 0.1, 4.7, 4.82, 5.10
34,MICDS,MO,__________________________ 6 11 3, -0.4, 5.2, 4.76, 4.48
35,Clayton,MO,________________________ 9 10 2, -0.2, 4.9, 4.71, 3.82
36,Eureka,MO,_________________________ 7 18 0, -1.9, 6.6, 4.70, 4.93
37,St Marys,MO,_______________________ 2 15 2, -2.4, 7.0, 4.57, 3.97
38,Parkway North,MO,__________________ 5 16 0, -2.0, 6.6, 4.54, 6.18
39,Fort Zumwalt North,MO,_____________ 3 18 0, -2.2, 6.6, 4.32, 5.50
40,Westminster,MO,____________________ 8 13 2, -0.7, 5.1, 4.32, 3.63
41,John Burroughs,MO,_________________ 8 13 0, -1.0, 5.0, 4.03, 3.99
42,Mehlville,MO,______________________ 4 17 0, -2.5, 6.3, 3.80, 4.07
43,Affton,MO,_________________________ 3 15 2, -2.5, 6.2, 3.69, 3.69
44,Pattonville,MO,____________________ 0 17 1, -3.4, 5.8, 2.39, 1.80
45,DuBourg,MO,________________________ 0 18 0, -3.6, 5.0, 1.49, 1.44